Global Warming: Why the heat?

Often, when I listen to or read conservative viewpoints on global warming, I confess to being a bit mystified. It’s one thing to be opposed to something because you believe the facts are on your side. But that presumes that, if you could be convinced that the facts told a different story, you would change your view.

I believe this is the case for most people who argue that we should be concerned about global warming. Presumably if, over the next few years, a series of respected scientific reports came out that all argued against global warming, and if the initially predicted effects failed to occur or were seen to start to go in the reverse direction, we would all cool off (no pun intended).

But I don’t get that sense from global warming opponents (if “opponents” is indeed the right word here). Instead, the level of rehtoric suggests that if you could present irrefutable evidence that global warming was truly a serious threat, opponents (who almost always are political conservatives) would be at best disappointed and at worst would irrationally cling to their false beliefs anyway.

Why is this? On the surface, there seems nothing political about the subject. Either global warming exists or it doesn’t. If it does exist, it will not single out liberals for its harmful effects. So why have such a vested interest in one side of the debate?

I believe that one reason (as described by George Lakoff in an article I strongly recommend reading) is that an acceptance of global warming would require that something be done about it. That something would inevitably include increased environmental restrictions and more government oversight of industry. It is this that conservatives are against. They prefer to believe that global warming is not a threat because it is consistent with their overall political agenda.

This is not entirely unlike the tobacco industry, decades ago, insisting that cigarettes are not harmful to your health, despite the mounting evidence. They clearly had a vested interest in what was accepted as “true” and facts be damned. It’s the same sort of position now taken by conservatives and global warming.

Even if it turns out that the global warming threat is less serious than Al Gore is suggesting (which I doubt), it would not change the fact that the conservative position is based primarily on a desire to defend a conservative philosophy, whether it fits with the truth or not.

The Supreme Court splits again

In the last few days, the Supreme Court handed down two major decisions. One involved a challenge to the redistricting of Congressional districts in Texas. The other involved Bush’s use of military tribunals for Guantanamo detainees.

Neither of the decisions should lead you to stand up and cheer. But, as I’ll get to in a moment, the real problem goes beyond the decisions themselves.

In the first decision, the court upheld (with one exception) the Texas redistricting. Recall that this redistricting was (1) done after the 2002 elections, the same elections for which Tom DeLay and others are now under indictment for having illegally used corporate funds to support Republican candidates. After illegally obtaining control of the legislature, they used their new power to perform a mid-decade redistricting with the openly stated purpose of gaining more Republican seats in the U.S. House. They succeeded, grabbing six new seats, a significant margin for maintaining their control of the House. The Supreme Court has now given its blessing to this theft.

The Court achieved this result by sidestepping the issue of the illegality of contributions. In essence, the Justices said (1) the Constitution does not prohibit mid-decade redisticting and (2) all redistricting is political and that this case did not appear to overstep the bounds of normal political activity. Except for the judgment call as to whether or not this case overstepped the bounds of what is acceptable, I have to agree with the Court’s reasoning here. Yes, the ruling opens the door to having more and more states doing redistricting more and more often, but that’s another problem for another day.

The trouble I have is that elections are different from other political processes. You may believe that a President’s appointments to government agencies are outrageously politically motivated. But there is nothing illegal about this, so you are basically stuck. Except, you can vote him out of office. But if the electoral process itself has become corrupt, and your ability to a fair election is gone, there is no hope at all. That is why I wish that the Court had been willing to take a more negative view of what happened in Texas.

On the Guantanamo ruling, the Court came down against Bush, stating that the President lacked the congressional authority to conduct the military tribunals he established. That’s fine as far as it goes. But the ruling said nothing about the legality of detaining prisoners indefinitely without ever charging them. The ruling also clearly implied that, if Congress gives its approval (which it may well do), Bush could soon have the authority he needs to continue with business as usual. So while the media report this as a “setback” for Bush, I don’t see it as a very big one.

Still, the “real” problem here goes beyond the details of the rulings themselves. The problem is this: In both cases, the majority was the bare minimum of 5 justices. One vote in the other direction and the outcome would have been reversed. So, in some sense, it is not accurate to state that “the Court ruled” as much as it is to say “the court split and could not come to an agreement, which means we go with what the five vote majority decided.”

Yes, I know. That’s the way the system works. If a candidate for office wins by one vote, he still wins. But, perhaps naively, I have viewed the Supreme Court as a bit different. Remember those committee meetings you attended (there must be at least one or two) where the Chairman said that the goal was not simply to get a majority to agree, but to get a consensus? That’s how I view the Supreme Court. The Court is supposed to be the final arbiter of what is “true” in our legal system, at least in interpreting the Constitution. If 4 justices on the bench view the “truth” in the opposite direction from the majority, why should the average citizen place much weight to the majority view. Why not simply say “Heck, even the justices can’t agree on who is right and wrong here. So why should I believe that the majority got it right?” When jurors have to reach a verdict in a trial, the Court instructs them to keep working until they get a unanimous decision, or you ultimately wind up with a “hung” jury. But the Supreme Court plays by very different rules.

I would like to think that the Court decisions are not simply made on the basis of politics, on whether you are a “conservative” or a “liberal” justice. It has been my belief that justices should rise above their political biases to reach a conclusion that strives for a non-political interpretation of the law.

And yes. I know. In the end, judgments are still matters of interpretation and we cannot expect even fair-minded Supreme Court justices to always agree. In any case, politically-motivated justices are not a new phenomenon. Still, as with much of the rest of our current political landscape, the divisiveness seems more constant and more extreme than has generally been the case in the past. Of course, getting consensus would be easy if all the justices were of a similar mind. My point here is that I believe the justices should seek more of a consensus even when they initially disagree.

I have read that Chief Justice Roberts recognizes this as a problem and wishes to get rulings with a greater number on the majority side. He hopes to achieve this by narrowing the scope of controversial rulings so as to widen the number of justices that can agree to a ruling. While this may lead to more decisions that mainly support the status quo, I would still like to give it try. How refreshing it would be to see 7-2, 8-1 or even 9-0 rulings coming from the Court on controversial cases.

I have little hope that rulings can ever be narrow enough to gain Scalia’s support (when he is initially on the minority side) and share similar doubts about Thomas (whose main function appears to be to listen to Scalia and then say “What he said!”). So maybe 7-2 is the best we can hope for in many cases. But even that would go a long way to restore a belief that a Supreme Court ruling is the best reasoned and unbiased judgment of the best judicial minds in the country attempting to reach a common consensus, and not just a politically motivated split decision where the majority view is mainly determined by which political party appointed the most justices.

Flag-Burning Amendment fails. Whew!

Yesterday, the Senate failed to pass a proposed Constitutional amendment to permit laws banning flag burning. It failed by one vote. Phew!

The rationale behind this vote was a Republican effort to pander to the right wing of their party, especially as the mid-term elections draw near. Plain and simple. Any rhetoric to the contrary is hogwash.

How else to explain this? I mean, when was the last time a flag-burning incident even made news? About 30 years ago? It’s not as if this is something that is crying out for action. A law banning flag burning is about as critically needed right now as a law banning jaywalking on the moon.

Now I know that there are those, due to their distorted sense of what is or is not patriotic, who genuinely believe that such an amendment is important. Still, I find it hard to understand how even these folks can get so worked up about this issue. Many of them are having trouble earning a decent wage; they are watching their pensions and health care benefits evaporate while tax cuts provide benefits mainly to the most wealthy members of our society. Yet, flag burning is where they want to put their energy? Oh well. You don’t have to be rational to vote.

In the end, I would not have gotten too worked up about this issue even if the amendment measure had passed. It’s not as if it will ever have any effect on my daily life. Still, I object on principle and on concerns about a slippery slope. The principle is that Americans should have the right to protest in whatever way they see fit, as long as it does not harm others. It’s a First Amendment issue. As the victims of oppressive governments have been saying for centuries: you must protect the rights of those you disagree with, or someday your rights may be taken away by those who disagree with you!

Finally, I see that Dianne Feinstein, one of the Senators from my new home state of California, voted in support of this bill. Now Dianne is a Democrat, and someone who I had assumed was generally aware of her surroundings and showing no indication of brain trauma. So I was hard pressed to understand her motivation here. As I have now learned (see this Web site), Diane’s decision here is not exactly an isolated incident. Oh well.